The shape, as we verified it
| Account | 100,000 USD |
| Profit target (phase 1) | 10% |
| Daily loss limit | 5% |
| Max loss floor | 10% static |
| Verification target | 5% |
Verified Oct 2026 from the rulebooks we trade under. Firms change terms — confirm the current numbers before you buy; this page prices the shape, not a firm's marketing.
What 2,000 paths say
Strategy assumption for the run: +0.15% expected return per day at 1.0% daily volatility — a solid, realistic edge. Median finish around 47 trading days.
# 2,000 paths · deterministic · reproduce via the preset account 100,000 USD paths 2,000 target 10% + 5% floor static gate 5% daily vol 1.0%/day PASS close 87.9% median 47 days PASS intraday 89.2% upper bound · within noise of close WARN stress 75.5% vol ×1.5 PASS funded 84.9% both phases, intraday basis · ~70 days WARN funded×st 63.3% the number to beat honestly
Readings worth taking away:
- The gates are far from this strategy's daily vol — a 5% gate against 1% daily swings is a 5σ wall, so close-basis and intraday-basis probabilities agree within noise (±1.4pp here). For this shape, the basis question matters less than pacing does. (Run 2% vol and watch that change — the preset link below takes you there.)
- Stress is the honest headline. At 1.5× volatility the two-phase funded route drops from ~85% to ~63%. If your live execution is wilder than your backtest, this shape prices that honestly.
- ~70 median trading days to funded at this edge — plan capital and patience accordingly.
The traps to check in this rulebook
- Daily basis (trap #1): the shape survives either basis at 1% vol — but confirm whether the gate includes floating P/L anyway; it changes your worst-case day, not your average one.
- Floor type (trap #2): the classic 10% static floor is part of this shape's appeal — verify it really is static in the current terms; a trailing variant changes the giveback maths completely.
- Consistency (trap #3): check whether a best-day cap applies at pass or payout, and at what percentage — then set it in PassLab and re-run.
- Payout gates (trap #4): the funded-phase split and first-payout waiting period are where this shape's economics actually settle.
Analysis, not advice. Monte Carlo under the stated assumptions; deterministic seeds mean the preset reproduces these numbers exactly.